Equities
Major US stock-index futures resumed downfall amid growing concerns over the impact of Coronavirus on the US economy. The CBOE volatility index, VIX, which is also known as a fear indicator rose to 43 again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures declined to 25703, the S&P500 futures tumbled to 2974, and Nasdaq futures fell to 8520. In Europe, the German Dax plunged to 11646, and FTSE MIB erased gains and drifted lower to 21362.
USD
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies extended losses, to trade at a low of 96.26, the lowest since July 2019. Meanwhile, the US treasury yields fell further where the US 10-year yields dropped to 0.79%, and the US 30-year yields declined to 1.381%. The CME Fed Watch tool is showing an increased probability of another 50 basis point rate cut in March meeting. The EURUSD rose to a high of $1.1275, the GBPUSD climbed to $1.2981, and the USDJPY tumbled to 105.66, the lowest since August 2019. Market participants are looking forward to the February US jobs report later today.
Metals
Gold prices soared to a two-week high amid growing market risks and uncertainty. The price of a gold ounce rose to $1681, while the price of silver dipped to $17.28, and palladium futures lost earlier gains and plunged to $2401. The gold/silver ratio rallied to a record high of 96.71.
Oil
Oil prices declined for the third consecutive day on fears Russia won't accept to deepen output cuts. Yesterday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries pushed for 1.5 million barrels per day cut (1 million by the organization and 500,000 by its allies). However, Russia's decision isn't clear yet. Today's meeting between OPEC and its allies will reveal the final decision. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell to $44.97, and Brent futures dropped to $48.91, the lowest since December 2018.
Major Economic Events
GMT | Country | Event | Expectation | Previous |
---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 |
- |
OPEC+ Meeting |
- |
- |
13:30 |
US |
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Feb) |
0.3% |
0.2% |
13:30 |
US |
Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb) |
175 |
225 |
13:30 |
US |
Unemployment Rate (Feb) |
3.6% |
3.6% |
13:30 |
CA |
Employment Change (Feb) |
10.0 |
34.5 |
13:30 |
CA |
Unemployment Rate (Feb) |
5.6% |
5.5% |
Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM.COM. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.