Equities
Major U.S. indices reversed earlier session gains and ended lower in a wild session. The news that Trump administration is ready to slap tariffs on more Chinese products if the talks between Trump and Xi fail to produce a trade deal weighed on the markets. Market participants are afraid that a full-blown trade war between China and the United States would lead to an economic slowdown. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded at a four-month low of 24086 but trimmed losses to settle at 24392. The S&P500 futures traded at 2605, the lowest since May 3rd, and pared losses to close at 2640. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq futures tumbled to a six-month low of 6580 and retraced partial losses to 6722. However, the sharp drop attracted buyers especially that some technical indicators signaled that the stock market is oversold. The stock futures recovered part of the losses during the Asian session.
USD
The dollar index which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies rallied to a high of 96.82, slightly short from posting a fresh 2018 high. The dollar gained support from the safe haven bid following fresh developments in the trade disputes between China and the United States. Moreover, the steep fall in equity prices backed the demand for the buck. The USDJPY is hovering near a three-week high at 112.86.
Metals
Gold prices drifted lower as the U.S. Treasury yields rebounded from a four-week low. The gold ounce traded at a one-week low of $1223 ahead of the European trading session. The silver ounce traded at a three-week low of $14.38
Oil
Oil prices edged lower due to the ongoing weakness in the stock market and the fears of oversupply. The plunge in the global stock market signals that the world could be facing an economic slowdown which could lead to lower oil demand in 2019. Moreover, the oil production from the United States, Russia, and Saudi Arabia reached a high of 33million barrels per day in September. Russia said that it would provide enough supply to meet the demand as the U.S. imposes sanctions on Iran. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled at $66.67, and the Brent futures closed at $76.80. The American Petroleum Institute will report the weekly US crude oil stock later today.
Major Economic Events
GMT | Country | Event | Expectation | Previous |
---|---|---|---|---|
9:00 | EU | GDP (QoQ) P | 0.4% | 0.4% |
9:00 | EU | GDP (YoY) P | 1.9% | 2.1% |
14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) | 136.0 | 138.4 |
19:30 | CA | BoC Gov Poloz Speaks | ||
20:30 | US | API Weekly Crude Oil Stock | 9.880 |
Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM.COM. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.