US Equities
Major US indices rose earlier on Tuesday supported by the strong corporate earnings. However, the indices pared gains as we headed to the close. Dow Jones and SPX500 ended higher, whereas the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite posted its biggest reversal since Feb 21st. Dow Jones traded at a six-week high of 25268 and settled at 25214. The SPX500 traded at a high of 2831and closed at 2821. On the other hand, the Nasdaq composite reversed from an all-time high of 7928 and settled lower at 7840. Nasdaq gained strength earlier from the upbeat earnings of Google’s parent company. President Donald Trump tweeted several times about trade yesterday, where he repeated that everyone is taking advantage over the US, and tariffs provide the best solution to deal with this matter. He added that he prefers to reach a free trade deal with the European Union today, but he believes that the EU can’t do it. The stock market will remain vulnerable to the second quarter corporate earnings and the outcome of the US-EU meeting.
USD
The dollar index which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket of major currencies ended almost flat on Tuesday. DXY came under pressure on Thursday and Friday post comments from president Trump criticizing the strength of the US dollar and the rise in the interest rates. The economic data continue to show the gap in the economic growth between the US and its rivals which supports a divergence in the monetary policy between them and provide support to the dollar and US Treasury yields. However, a surge in the Eurozone inflation and a slowdown in the average hourly earnings in the United States could narrow the divergence in the interest rate path. USDJPY fell for the fifth consecutive day and settled at 111.19. EURUSD traded at a high of $1.1717, a low of $1.1655, and ended the day slightly lower at 1.1684.
Metals
Gold ounce ended the day on a neutral tone as the bullion traded at a high of $1229, a low of $1218, and settled near the open price at $1224. The gold ounce bounced-off a one-year low post the comments of president Trump about the dollar and interest rates. However, the rise in the US treasury yields erased part of the gains. On the other hand, the silver ounce traded at a one-week high of $15.60 and settled at $15.45.
Oil
Oil prices edged higher as the American Petroleum Institute reported that the US crude oil inventories fell by 3.16 million barrels last week. The West Texas Intermediate traded at a high of 69.02 whereas Brent traded at a high of 73.97. Oil prices were under pressure lately due to the rising risk of oversupply amid the expected slowdown in the global growth.
Major Economic Events
GMT | Country | Event | Expectation | Previous |
---|---|---|---|---|
8:00 | EU | German Ifo Business Climate Index | 101.6 | 101.8 |
14:00 | US | New Home Sales (Jun) | 670 | 689 |
14:30 | US | Crude Oil Inventories | -2.331 | 5.836 |
Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.