The Greenback Pares Its Losses

The dollar ended the day without significant gains vs. a basket of currencies in anticipation of important data which will be released this week and also Janet Yellen's speech. The U.S. dollar index settled at 94.5 pips.

Euro settled at $1.13 vs. USD at the beginning of the week on lack of economic data. On the other hand, the single currency is awaiting important data about EUR Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI and EUR Markit Germany Services PMI. From a technical point of view, Fiber could be affected by such data but it is unlikely to decline further during the course of the day.

GBP traded above $1.31 yesterday as UK retail sales rose in July.  The substantial rise in the index could outweigh the positive benefits of a “Brexit” vote.

From a technical point of view, Cable could break and settle below $1.30 and is unlikely to settle above $1.33.

Gold prices fell at the beginning of the week, after fresh signals from Federal Reserve officials that interest rates could hike this year.

Gold tested key resistance levels of $1,330 and settled above $1,335. The yellow metal could trade under pressure in anticipation of Janet Yellen's speech this Friday.

Oil prices fell by 3% yesterday, on concerns over a rising US oil rig count, increasing Chinese fuel exports and more Nigerian and Iraqi crude shipments. U.S. Crude was negatively affected by such data as well and settled above the resistance levels of $47.50.

The most important economic events:

• EUR Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI (AUG P): (GMT 9:30) – Medium – Forecast (53.6) – Previous (53.8).
• EUR Markit Germany Services PMI (AUG P): (GMT 9:30) – Medium – Forecast (54.3) – Previous (54.4).
• EUR Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI (AUG P): (GMT 9:30) – Medium – Forecast (55.1) – Previous (55.3).
• USD Markit US Manufacturing PMI (AUG P): (GMT 15:45) – Medium – Forecast (52.7) – Previous (52.9).
• EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence (AUG A): (GMT 16:00) – Medium – Forecast (-7.7) – Previous (-7.9).

Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.